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- W3118913534 abstract "This thesis, written in cooperation with Judo Bond Nederland, focuses on designing an athlete performance tracking system (APTS) to track the performance of senior judokas over time. We propose the use of an extended version of the Elo rating system and give suggestions for more sophisticated methods which also take uncertainty of the strength estimates into account. Due to a lack of data regarding head-to-head match results, we conduct a simulation study to generate results of individual matches, in order to evaluate different specifications of the Elo system. We find that specifications of the Elo system that give more weight to results in prestigious tournaments and late stages in tournaments lead to a similar distribution of Elo ratings at the end of the simulation as when valuing all matches equally. The final Elo rating of individual athletes is however different in distinct Elo specifications. We also propose and illustrate the use of a more sophisticated method from the pairwise comparison literature: the Glicko model. Furthermore, we use actual results from senior ranking tournaments from 2015 to 2020 to compute probabilities that an athlete with a certain world ranking reaches a specific round in a certain ranking tournament. Particular emphasis is placed on pooling tournament results across gender, weight categories and different type of events. We find few significant effects between gender and weight categories for athletes from the same cluster of world rankings, however the winning probabilities between different types of tournaments are significantly different. These results indicate that it is justified to design essentially the same ATPS for each of the fourteen weight categories in judo, and that wins in distinct tournaments should be valued differently in the APTS." @default.
- W3118913534 created "2021-01-18" @default.
- W3118913534 creator A5015557632 @default.
- W3118913534 date "2020-01-01" @default.
- W3118913534 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W3118913534 title "Measuring and Comparing the Performance of Elite Judokas" @default.
- W3118913534 hasPublicationYear "2020" @default.
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