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- W3121134448 abstract "In the Solow model of economic growth, a clear connection is made between saving (rate) and economic conventional wisdom says: higher saving (rate) leads to higher (rate of) investment which in turn leads to higher economic presumption is that higher saving precedes economic growth and higher saving causes economic belief in these models leads to strong macroeconomic policy recommendations for development. As a result, for many years, the World Bank has recommended that developing countries should pay close attention to policies that lead to higher saving rate in order to boost economic Recently Gavin, Hausmann and Talvi (1997) have raised questions about this fundamental belief. They argue that Higher growth rate precedes higher saving rather than the reverse. And The most powerful determinant of saving over the long run is economic growth. (p.13) existence of a contemporaneous positive correlation between saving and growth is a robust empirical finding (see, for example, Maddison (1992)). However, something odd started to emerge with Jappelli and Pagano (1996). Strong evidence seemed to emerge showing higher saving follows higher growth for different countries in different time periods. There are three main criticisms of Gavin, Hausmann and Talvi (1997): (1) Their analysis is based on a short time-span of data (1970-1993). In order to overcome this problem with the dataset, they had to resort to pooling data across different countries--an unsatisfactory solution. (2) They do not explicitly study the problem with unit roots, cointegration and Granger causality. (3) They do not separate out the effects of private and public saving. growth models of Solow type implicitly assume that the connection between saving and growth is about private saving and In this paper, we explicitly confront all of these issues: We have a longer time series for one country (Mexico (1960-1996)); we rigorously explore econometric issues of unit roots, cointegration and causality; and we explicitly separate out public and private saving in our analysis." @default.
- W3121134448 created "2021-02-01" @default.
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- W3121134448 date "1998-10-20" @default.
- W3121134448 modified "2023-09-22" @default.
- W3121134448 title "Cart Before the Horse? The Saving-Growth Nexus in Mexico" @default.
- W3121134448 hasPublicationYear "1998" @default.
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