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- W3121781423 abstract "We look at the effects of rainfall forecasts and realized rainfall on equilibrium agricultural wages over the course of the agricultural production cycle. We show theoretically that a forecast of good weather can lower wages in the planting stage, by lowering ex ante out-migration, and can exacerbate the negative impact of adverse weather on harvest-stage wages. Using Indian household panel data describing early-season migration and district-level planting- and harvest-stage wages over the period 2005-2010, we find results consistent with the model, indicating that rainfall forecasts improve labor allocations on average but exacerbate wage volatility because they are imperfect." @default.
- W3121781423 created "2021-02-01" @default.
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- W3121781423 date "2014-01-01" @default.
- W3121781423 modified "2023-10-17" @default.
- W3121781423 title "Rainfall Forecasts, Weather and Wages over the Agricultural Production Cycle" @default.
- W3121781423 doi "https://doi.org/10.3386/w19808" @default.
- W3121781423 hasPublicationYear "2014" @default.
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