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• W3122809310 abstract "We provide the first direct empirical support for the importance of signalling in monetary policy by testing two key predictions from a novel structural model. First, all policymaker types should become less tough on inflation over time and secondly, types that weigh output more should have a more pronounced shift. Voting data from the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee strongly support both predictions. Counterfactual results indicate signalling has a substantial impact on interest rates over the business cycle, and improves the committee designer's welfare. Implications for committee design include allowing regular member turnover and transparency regarding publishing individual votes." @default.
• W3122809310 created "2021-02-01" @default.
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• W3122809310 date "2016-02-15" @default.
• W3122809310 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
• W3122809310 title "First Impressions Matter: Signalling as a Source of Policy Dynamics" @default.
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• W3122809310 doi "https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdw007" @default.
• W3122809310 hasPublicationYear "2016" @default.
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