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- W3123402425 abstract "This paper presents an empirical analysis investigating the relationship between the futures trading activities of speculators and hedgers and the potential movements of major spot exchange rates. A set of trader position measures are employed as regression predictors, including the level and change of net positions, an investor sentiment index, extremely bullish/bearish sentiments, and the peak/trough indicators. We find that the peaks and troughs of net positions are generally useful predictors to the evolution of spot exchange rates but other trader position measures are less correlated with future market movements. In addition, speculative position measures usually forecast price-continuations in spot rates while hedging position measures forecast price-reversals in these markets." @default.
- W3123402425 created "2021-02-01" @default.
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- W3123402425 date "2009-11-01" @default.
- W3123402425 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W3123402425 title "Speculation and Hedging in the Currency Futures Markets: Are They Informative to the Spot Exchange Rates" @default.
- W3123402425 hasPublicationYear "2009" @default.
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