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- W3123661969 abstract "This paper attempts to disentangle the intricate relation linking the world interest rate, country spreads, and emerging-market fundamentals. It does so by using a methodology that combines empirical and theoretical elements. The main findings are: (1) US interest rate shocks explain about 20% of movements in aggregate activity in emerging economies. (2) Country spread shocks explain about 12% of business cycles in emerging economies. (3) In response to an increase in US interest rates, country spreads first fall and then display a large, delayed overshooting; (4) US-interest-rate shocks affect domestic variables mostly through their effects on country spreads; (5) The feedback from emerging-market fundamentals to country spreads significantly exacerbates business-cycle fluctuations." @default.
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- W3123661969 date "2006-06-01" @default.
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- W3123661969 title "Country spreads and emerging countries: Who drives whom?" @default.
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- W3123661969 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2005.04.003" @default.
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