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- W3123695845 abstract "This paper estimates the impact of longevity risk on pension systems by combining the prediction based on a Lee-Carter (1992) mortality model with the projected pension payments for different cohorts of retirees. We measure longevity risk by the difference between the upper bound of the total old-age pension expense and its mean estimate. This difference is as high as 4 per cent of annual GDP over the period 2040-2050. The impact of longevity risk is sizeably reduced by the introduction of indexation of retirement age to expected life at retirement. Our evidence speaks in favour of a market for longevity risk and calls for a closer scrutiny of the potential redistributive effects of longevity risk. Keywords: stochastic mortality, longevity risk, social security reform JEL Classification Numbers J11,J14" @default.
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- W3123695845 date "2012-01-01" @default.
- W3123695845 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W3123695845 title "Measuring the Impact of Longevity Risk on Pension Systems: The Case of Italy" @default.
- W3123695845 hasPublicationYear "2012" @default.
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