FRINK Linked Data Fragments server

Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W3124185864> ?p ?o ?g. }

• W3124185864 endingPage "129" @default.
• W3124185864 startingPage "113" @default.
• W3124185864 abstract "We combine the probability forecasts of a real GDP decline from the US Survey of Professional Forecasters, after trimming the forecasts that do not have “value”, as measured by the Kuiper Skill Score and in the sense of Merton (1981). For this purpose, we use a simple test to evaluate the probability forecasts. The proposed test does not require the probabilities to be converted to binary forecasts before testing, and it accommodates serial correlation and skewness in the forecasts. We find that the number of forecasters making valuable forecasts decreases sharply as the horizon increases. The beta-transformed linear pool combination scheme, based on the valuable individual forecasts, is shown to outperform the simple average for all horizons on a number of performance measures, including calibration and sharpness. The test helps to identify the good forecasters ex ante, and therefore contributes to the accuracy of the combined forecasts." @default.
• W3124185864 created "2021-02-01" @default.
• W3124185864 creator A5037685963 @default.
• W3124185864 creator A5057126274 @default.
• W3124185864 creator A5085930715 @default.
• W3124185864 date "2015-01-01" @default.
• W3124185864 modified "2023-09-24" @default.
• W3124185864 title "Testing the value of probability forecasts for calibrated combining" @default.
• W3124185864 cites W1966132461 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W1966133003 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W1968750601 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W1978124906 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W1995512222 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W1998746317 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W2006413856 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W2009287171 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W2009418501 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W2012256096 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W2037645872 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W2042652922 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W2047634553 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W2053589029 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W2057182962 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W2062586813 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W2073241381 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W2074326882 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W2078554058 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W2100333260 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W2109880956 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W2110499533 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W2117178635 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W2130254675 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W2150640859 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W2160785088 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W2180039777 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W3121328226 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W3123184307 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W3124550551 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W4243840727 @default.
• W3124185864 cites W4256425349 @default.
• W3124185864 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2014.03.005" @default.
• W3124185864 hasPubMedCentralId "https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/4267129" @default.
• W3124185864 hasPubMedId "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25530646" @default.
• W3124185864 hasPublicationYear "2015" @default.
• W3124185864 type Work @default.
• W3124185864 sameAs 3124185864 @default.
• W3124185864 citedByCount "9" @default.
• W3124185864 countsByYear W31241858642016 @default.
• W3124185864 countsByYear W31241858642017 @default.
• W3124185864 countsByYear W31241858642018 @default.
• W3124185864 countsByYear W31241858642020 @default.
• W3124185864 countsByYear W31241858642022 @default.
• W3124185864 countsByYear W31241858642023 @default.
• W3124185864 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
• W3124185864 hasAuthorship W3124185864A5037685963 @default.
• W3124185864 hasAuthorship W3124185864A5057126274 @default.
• W3124185864 hasAuthorship W3124185864A5085930715 @default.
• W3124185864 hasBestOaLocation W31241858642 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConcept C105795698 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConcept C111919701 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConcept C120954023 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConcept C122251271 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConcept C122342681 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConcept C126285488 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConcept C139719470 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConcept C149782125 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConcept C159176650 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConcept C162324750 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConcept C165838908 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConcept C2524010 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConcept C2776291640 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConcept C2776892200 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConcept C556758197 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConcept C56951928 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConceptScore W3124185864C105795698 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConceptScore W3124185864C111919701 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConceptScore W3124185864C120954023 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConceptScore W3124185864C122251271 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConceptScore W3124185864C122342681 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConceptScore W3124185864C126285488 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConceptScore W3124185864C139719470 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConceptScore W3124185864C149782125 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConceptScore W3124185864C159176650 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConceptScore W3124185864C162324750 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConceptScore W3124185864C165838908 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConceptScore W3124185864C2524010 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConceptScore W3124185864C2776291640 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConceptScore W3124185864C2776892200 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConceptScore W3124185864C33923547 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConceptScore W3124185864C41008148 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConceptScore W3124185864C556758197 @default.
• W3124185864 hasConceptScore W3124185864C56951928 @default.
• W3124185864 hasFunder F4320332161 @default.
• W3124185864 hasIssue "1" @default.
• W3124185864 hasLocation W31241858641 @default.
• W3124185864 hasLocation W31241858642 @default.

• next