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- W3124258273 abstract "This paper examines the link between consumer sentiment and consumption expenditures in Nigeria. It assesses the predictive ability of consumer confidence indices and selected macroeconomic indicators using a simple autoregressive model which addresses the issue of how confidence indicators bring additional information beyond economic fundamentals. Given the paucity of monthly data, cubic spline interpolation algorithm was used to convert quarterly indicators from 2008Q2 – 2014Q2 into monthly series. From the analysis of the consumption model estimated, we find that the in-sample forecast performed well with little error margin and the out-of-sample values for the next six month were estimated. The results show that the confidence indicator could influence economic performance and be a good predictor of household consumption growth in Nigeria. The paper stressed that care must be exercise particularly during period of economic uncertainty and fluctuations in using the best model for decision making." @default.
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- W3124258273 date "2015-01-01" @default.
- W3124258273 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W3124258273 title "Consumer confidence indices and short-term forecasting of consumption for Nigeria" @default.
- W3124258273 hasPublicationYear "2015" @default.
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