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• W3124888911 abstract "This paper uses a dataset on private-sector risk aversion as well as expectations of long-run growth and debt to explain trends in implied forward rates on government bonds in the G-7 countries. The results show, consistent with the literature, that a one-percent rise in the long-run projected debt-to-GDP ratio causes an increase in bond yields of a relatively modest 1-to-6 basis points. Shocks to growth expectations and risk aversion have been comparatively more successful in explaining the behavior of long-term rates. The findings imply that growth policies rather than long-run projections of fiscal outcomes may be more important in helping influence long-term borrowing costs." @default.
• W3124888911 created "2021-02-01" @default.
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• W3124888911 date "2015-05-01" @default.
• W3124888911 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
• W3124888911 title "How Important are Debt and Growth Expectations for Interest Rates" @default.
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• W3124888911 doi "https://doi.org/10.5089/9781484358603.001.a001" @default.
• W3124888911 hasPublicationYear "2015" @default.
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