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- W3125014392 abstract "Time preferences vary by age. Notably, according to experimental studies, senior citizens tend to discount future payoffs more heavily than working-age individuals. Based on these findings, we hypothesize that demographic change has contributed to the cut-back in government-financed investment that many advanced economies experienced over the last four decades. We demonstrate for a panel of 13 OECD countries between 1971 and 2007 that the share of elderly voters and public investment rates are cointegrated, indicating a long-run relationship between them. Estimating this cointegration relationship via pooled dynamic OLS (D-OLS) and fully modified OLS (FM-OLS) we find a negative and significant effect of population aging on public investment. Moreover, the estimation of an error correction model reveals long-run Granger causality running exclusively from aging to investment. Our results are robust to the inclusion of additional control variables typically considered in literature on the determinants of public investment." @default.
- W3125014392 created "2021-02-01" @default.
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- W3125014392 date "2015-01-01" @default.
- W3125014392 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W3125014392 title "The Political Economy of Public Investment when Population is Aging – A Panel Cointegration Analysis" @default.
- W3125014392 hasPublicationYear "2015" @default.
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