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- W3140069904 abstract "We propose a new explanation for the forward-premium and the delayed-overshooting puzzles. Both puzzles arise from a systematic under-reaction of short-term interest rate forecasts to current innovations. Accordingly, the forward premium is always a biased predictor of future depreciation; the bias can be so severe as to lead to negative coeffcients in the 'Fama' regression; delayed overshooting may or may not occur depending upon the persistence of interest rate innovations and the degree of under-reaction; lastly, for G-7 countries against the U.S., these puzzles can be rationalized for values of the model's parameters that match empirical estimates" @default.
- W3140069904 created "2021-04-13" @default.
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- W3140069904 date "2000-01-01" @default.
- W3140069904 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W3140069904 title "Exchange Rate Dynamics, Learning and Misperception" @default.
- W3140069904 hasPublicationYear "2000" @default.
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