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• W3142082925 abstract "Empirical evidence of the causal relationship between capital flows and economic growth over the decades is largely indecisive. While the promised benefits to countries that open for capital inflows have not been realized, sudden and massive capital outflows often visibly wreak havoc on the economy. By using the recently developed asymmetric Granger causality test, we find overwhelming evidence across nine selected Asian countries in support of asymmetric effect of capital flow on economic growth in the sense that cumulative capital inflows are growth irrelevant, whereas cumulative capital outflows are growth destructive. Based on a small open-economy model expanded with heterogeneous investment goods and endogenous nonlinear credit constraint, we provide an economic intuition for the asymmetry that survives different level of financial developments. In particular, arbitrage condition between heterogeneous investment goods sets a boundary over which massive and persistent capital inflows would leave no impact on long-run growth. Whereas endogenous nonlinear credit constraint triggers debt deflation process, making large and persistent capital outflows growth destructive." @default.
• W3142082925 created "2021-04-13" @default.
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• W3142082925 date "2015-01-01" @default.
• W3142082925 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
• W3142082925 title "Asymmetric growth effect of capital flows: Evidence and quantitative theory" @default.
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• W3142082925 hasPublicationYear "2015" @default.
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