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- W3149462801 abstract "An important effort is carried out worldwide in the hope that, maybe sometime in the future, the grail of useful earthquake prediction will be attained.The seismological community has been criticized in the past for promising results by using various prediction techniques (e.g., anomalous seismic wave propagations, dilatancy diffusion, Mogi donuts, pattern recognition algorithms, etc.) that have not delivered to the expected level.The need for a reassessment of the physical processes has been recognized and more fundamental studies are pursued on crustal structures in seismogenic zones, historical earthquakes, active faults, laboratory fracture experiments, earthquake source processes, etc.There is even now an opinion that earthquakes could be inherently unpredictable.The argument is that past failures and recent theories suggest fundamental obstacles to prediction.It is true that useful predictions are not available at present and seem hard to get in the near future, but would it not be a little presumptuous to claim that prediction is impossible? Many past examples in the development of science have taught us that unexpected discoveries can modify completely what was previously considered possible or not. Here, we demonstrate that an exponential law for earthquake predictions has been discovered and this law has wide applicability for the predictions of catastrophe including earthquakes, landslides and avalanches." @default.
- W3149462801 created "2021-04-13" @default.
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- W3149462801 date "2010-01-01" @default.
- W3149462801 modified "2023-09-24" @default.
- W3149462801 title "Brittle failure mechanism of multiple locked patches in a seismogenic fault system and exploration on a new way for earthquake prediction" @default.
- W3149462801 hasPublicationYear "2010" @default.
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