Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W3150986708> ?p ?o ?g. }
Showing items 1 to 65 of
65
with 100 items per page.
- W3150986708 abstract "Consider the hypothesis H that a defendant is guilty (a patient has condition C), and the evidence E that a majority of h out of n independent jurors (diagnostic tests) have voted for H and a minority of k:=n-h against H. How likely is the majority verdict to be correct? By a formula of Condorcet, the probability that H is true given E depends only on each juror’s competence and on the absolute margin between the majority and the minority h-k, but neither on the number n, nor on the proportion h/n. This paper reassesses that result and explores its implications. First, using the classical Condorcet jury model, I derive a more general version of Condorcet’s formula, confirming the significance of the absolute margin, but showing that the probability that H is true given E depends also on an additional parameter: the prior probability that H is true. Second, I show that a related result holds when we consider not the degree of belief we attach to H given E, but the degree of support E gives to H. Third, I address the implications for the definition of special majority voting, a procedure used to capture the asymmetry between false positive and false negative decisions. I argue that the standard definition of special majority voting in terms of a required proportion of the jury is epistemically questionable, and that the classical Condorcet jury model leads to an alternative definition in terms of a required absolute margin between the majority and the minority. Finally, I show that the results on the significance of the absolute margin can be resisted if the so-called assumption of symmetrical juror competence is relaxed." @default.
- W3150986708 created "2021-04-13" @default.
- W3150986708 creator A5070694496 @default.
- W3150986708 date "2002-01-01" @default.
- W3150986708 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
- W3150986708 title "On the Significance of the Absolute Margin" @default.
- W3150986708 hasPublicationYear "2002" @default.
- W3150986708 type Work @default.
- W3150986708 sameAs 3150986708 @default.
- W3150986708 citedByCount "0" @default.
- W3150986708 crossrefType "posted-content" @default.
- W3150986708 hasAuthorship W3150986708A5070694496 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConcept C114614502 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConcept C119857082 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConcept C140940377 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConcept C144237770 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConcept C17744445 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConcept C199539241 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConcept C2776119841 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConcept C2776213154 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConcept C520049643 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConcept C774472 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConcept C94625758 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConceptScore W3150986708C114614502 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConceptScore W3150986708C119857082 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConceptScore W3150986708C140940377 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConceptScore W3150986708C144237770 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConceptScore W3150986708C17744445 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConceptScore W3150986708C199539241 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConceptScore W3150986708C2776119841 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConceptScore W3150986708C2776213154 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConceptScore W3150986708C33923547 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConceptScore W3150986708C41008148 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConceptScore W3150986708C520049643 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConceptScore W3150986708C774472 @default.
- W3150986708 hasConceptScore W3150986708C94625758 @default.
- W3150986708 hasLocation W31509867081 @default.
- W3150986708 hasOpenAccess W3150986708 @default.
- W3150986708 hasPrimaryLocation W31509867081 @default.
- W3150986708 hasRelatedWork W1542702323 @default.
- W3150986708 hasRelatedWork W1581637655 @default.
- W3150986708 hasRelatedWork W1983760501 @default.
- W3150986708 hasRelatedWork W2020947152 @default.
- W3150986708 hasRelatedWork W2026043261 @default.
- W3150986708 hasRelatedWork W2045361002 @default.
- W3150986708 hasRelatedWork W2064531066 @default.
- W3150986708 hasRelatedWork W2102601215 @default.
- W3150986708 hasRelatedWork W2123114239 @default.
- W3150986708 hasRelatedWork W2131658761 @default.
- W3150986708 hasRelatedWork W2158660103 @default.
- W3150986708 hasRelatedWork W2568165527 @default.
- W3150986708 hasRelatedWork W2930952667 @default.
- W3150986708 hasRelatedWork W3024825468 @default.
- W3150986708 hasRelatedWork W3123861394 @default.
- W3150986708 hasRelatedWork W3124347918 @default.
- W3150986708 hasRelatedWork W3125382365 @default.
- W3150986708 hasRelatedWork W3198342196 @default.
- W3150986708 hasRelatedWork W2122790164 @default.
- W3150986708 hasRelatedWork W2184713224 @default.
- W3150986708 isParatext "false" @default.
- W3150986708 isRetracted "false" @default.
- W3150986708 magId "3150986708" @default.
- W3150986708 workType "article" @default.