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- W3151451837 abstract "The Austrian theory mainly deals with analyzing the effects of an increased credit offer on productive structures. In this respect, we propose to link long-term growth cycles to various short-term interest rate gaps. Are European Business Cycles affected when a fall in the money market rate disrupts agents’ expectations of inflation? Using the hypothesis that individual speculation is motivated by the difference between short-term real interest rates and their natural levels, we argue that Wicksellian interest rate gaps can account for a high proportion of long-term fluctuations in 4 European countries (Germany, France, Italy and Spain). We present specific dating methods and filters used in order to distinguish between short-term and long-term growth cycles. The Wicksellian incentives we constructed are then significantly linked to long-term business fluctuations. Under the hypothesis of adaptive expectations of inflation, our results are enhanced." @default.
- W3151451837 created "2021-04-13" @default.
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- W3151451837 date "2008-01-01" @default.
- W3151451837 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W3151451837 title "European Business Fluctuations in the Austrian Framework" @default.
- W3151451837 hasPublicationYear "2008" @default.
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