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• W3168300423 abstract "We exploit information in sovereign CDS spreads and the international trade network to provide causal evidence of the propagation of global economic shocks. We show that trade links are an important source of shock transmission using the natural experiments of the Japanese tsunami and the COVID-19 lockdown in China. We then confirm more general and gradual information flows along the trade network by showing extensive country-level credit/equity cross-sectional return predictability. News about country fundamentals flows primarily from importers to exporters, depends on both direct and indirect links in the trade network, and is magnified by the exporting country's financial vulnerability." @default.
• W3168300423 created "2021-06-22" @default.
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• W3168300423 date "2022-07-01" @default.
• W3168300423 modified "2023-10-16" @default.
• W3168300423 title "Ripples into waves: Trade networks, economic activity, and asset prices" @default.
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• W3168300423 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.08.005" @default.
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