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- W3174232843 abstract "Nowadays, weakness of economical, social, political and management structures cause to eminence of many challenges in cities and different regions and this case is main and effective stimulant in lack of accessibility to sustainable development. So, using modern surveys to recognize many challenges and their future trending and guideline of strategic planning to reach sustainability and sustainable development is inevitable necessity. The aim of current study is investigation of ARAS Free region future trending challenges along reaching to sustainable development and presenting guidelines to it’s position improvement and future situation. Methodology is applied and applicable form with future trending and cross – sections effects analysis technique was used to data analysis with MICMAC Software. Current study data and information were gathered by using elites and urban managers Delphi’s method. Results showed that future challenges for ARAS Free region sustainable development were under severe effect of management weakness and lack of certain plan to develop, lack of using management modern patterns such as governance and knowledge-based management; financial-monetary weakness and existence of legal restrictions with framework case in industry par by regarding high and extensive area in issued region and suitable of lands for agriculture. Also, evaluation of mentioned region stability/instability based on investigated challenges showed that; challenges are instable and strategic planning, real and innovative development according to future trending paradigm, role redefinition and ARAS Free region position in national and international arenas will recognize with roles/actions enhancing by regarding sustainable development. Extended AbstractIntroduction:Planning along regional development is one of main factors to reach societies sustainable development. Nowadays, the aim of regional development studies is ability and taking capacities in every region for creating balance and equal situations. Regional development is an important aim in environmental and spatial planning during recent decades and it includes various plans with facilitating of social and economical components improving and reduction environmental vulnerabilities. Also regional sustainable development by empowering and improving of different elements such as people, governance, environment, economy and living conditions in certain geography follows a space with efficient communication& information technology to reach sustainable society and environment. According to regional development role and importance in Societies sustainability in current study, the main aim is investigation Aras Free region sustainable development and presenting actual and administrated guidelines with future trending survey.Nowadays, Iran's free trade-industrial zones have been formed with the aim of development, economic growth and development, investment and increasing public revenues, creating healthy and productive employment, regulating the labor market and goods, active presence in global and regional markets, and so on. In order to achieve their goals and sustainable development, they have faced all kinds of challenges. Therefore, the present study has been developed to identify these challenges and their future research in Aras Free region. Given that the research has been done in a more studied area around the axis of tourism development, in this research, we have tried to look at the Aras Free Zone Development System (Challenges and Strategies) in different dimensions and also to be placed with a future trending survey.Methodology:Methodology is applied and applicable form with future trending and cross – sections effects analysis technique was used to data analysis with MICMAC Software. Current study data and information were gathered by using elites and urban managers Delphi’s method.It should be noted that in the framework of the matrix of intersecting effects, a statistical sample is asked to give a score from zero to three based on the impact and impact of challenges on each other. It has the potential to have a moderate effect, and 3 has the potential to have a direct and indirect effect on potential. Finally, the scores given in the cross-sectional matrix are entered so that in the software, it is possible to address the future of the research and the impact and effectiveness of each component.Findings:Based on current position analysis for future challenges of Aras Free region development and existed position in various dimensions (social, economical, framework, management, political and environmental); following scenarios are presented for possible conditions of Aras Free region development in future. On the other hand, results showed that future challenges for ARAS Free region sustainable development were under severe effect of management weakness and lack of certain plan to develop, lack of using management modern patterns such as governance and knowledge-based management; financial-monetary weakness and existence of legal restrictions with framework case in industry par by regarding high and extensive area in issued region and suitable of lands for agriculture. Also, evaluation of mentioned region stability/instability based on investigated challenges showed that; challenges are instable and strategic planning, real and innovative development according to future trending paradigm, role redefinition and ARAR Free region position in national and international arenas will recognize with roles/actions enhancing by regarding sustainable development.Also, joint discussion of study backgrounds (Chen, 2017; Yasori and Sejodi, 2018; Efimova and Gapochka, 2019; Nijkamp and Abreu, 2020) Population, etc.) as a regional development strategy. Also, considering the types of challenges (in different dimensions) in the region and presenting possible scenarios and futures based on the current situation of the region and the management system, the difference between the present study and the study background is considered.Conclusion:It can be said that the challenges facing the development of the Aras Free region are due to the limitations in various economic, managerial, legal and political factors of Iran in the region and the world. In some cases, such as sanctions, improving the diplomatic situation in the country and preserving the environment, the enactment of approved laws to make use of non-agricultural land for industrial activities is effective.Based on current position analysis for future challenges of Aras Free region development and existed position in various dimensions (social, economical, framework, management, political and environmental); following scenarios are presented for possible conditions of Aras Free region development in future.The first scenario: Reference viewpoint scenario (Passive): This scenario contains a part development by focusing on towards and willing reception. Also it relates to gradual and relative decay with continuous role and Aras Free region position in national and international scales. By existing of supervision institutions interaction and council attention about free regions and determining their for goods smuggling entrances , Iran political situation in global arena , lack of stability in decisions making commercial and custom regulations , weakness of financial-monetary institutions and economical prohibitions against Iran and also attention to one-dimensional development and lack of coordinated survey realization , we will face with Aras Free region position and role gradual decay.Second scenario: Nostalgic and ideal viewpoint (Reactive): in this scenario; coordinated development presents according to current paradigm understanding and reaction to un-coordinated strategies par (idealistic and eminence) by maintaining of stability in Aras Free region development. In mentioned scenario, by regarding current conditions maintaining, we try to anticipate stable and coordinate development in Aras Free region. Focusing on idealistic will cause to lack of development realization. During globalization and world development turbulence; stability will cause decay necessary conditions.The third scenario: Future trending development scenario (Active): This scenario relates to real and innovative development based on future paradigm through redefinition of Aras Free region role and position in national and international arenas with roles and functions enhancement." @default.
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- W3174232843 date "2020-05-11" @default.
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- W3174232843 title "Analysis of sustainable development guidelines & challenges with future trending survey (Case study: ARAS Free region)" @default.
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