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- W3175883863 abstract "<p>The Sundarbans Biosphere Reserve is situated near Kolkata in the western part of the Ganges-Brahmaputra Delta. The Sundarbans mangroves together with the areas in Bangladesh are the world&#8217;s largest mangrove forest and home to the iconic Royal &#160;Bengal Tiger. It is a Ramsar and World Heritage site. Over the last 20 years the mangroves have retreated from 10 to 50 m/yr along the open coast with the loss of 145 km<sup>2</sup> area of the biosphere reserve , 40% of which constitute the&#160; mangrove forest. This erosion reflects a response to waves in the Bay of Bengaland relative sea-level rise of about&#160; 5 mm/yr since 1948 which increased further during the last decade. In percentage terms this observed forest land loss is manageable. However, it will continue and almost certainly accelerate with sea-level rise. As well as open coast erosion, inundation will also occur within the mangroves. Hence over many decades,Sundarbans mangroves will be progressively degraded endangering &#160;their iconic species. We are using these observed data and the Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model (SLAMM)to explore possible trajectories of the Sundarbans evolution under different sea-level rise scenarios and management interventions. The areas to the north are densely populated and increasingly influenced by the expansion of Kolkata. Discussions with stakeholders suggest a managed retreat does not seem feasible or practical due to the large displaced populations.The paper will discuss theinter linkages of the slow onset hazard in a sinking and shrinking delta to explore pathways to achieve sustainable outcomes in south Asian deltas.&#160;&#160;</p>" @default.
- W3175883863 created "2021-07-05" @default.
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- W3175883863 date "2021-03-04" @default.
- W3175883863 modified "2023-09-24" @default.
- W3175883863 title "The future of the Sundarbans mangroves in India" @default.
- W3175883863 doi "https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-11090" @default.
- W3175883863 hasPublicationYear "2021" @default.
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