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- W3186176972 abstract "定量分析气候变化和人类活动对径流的影响是探究径流演变机制及水土流失防控的关键之一.采用Trendfree prewhitening MK检验法分析闽江干流及3大子流域1960-2010年径流和气象要素的变化特征,并将经验判别法和气候弹性系数法相结合,分析气候变化和人类活动对闽江流域径流变化的影响.结果表明:闽江流域的年径流、降雨量总体呈上升趋势,潜在蒸发量则为下降趋势,且在20世纪70年代初发生突变;闽江干流和3大子流域的气候变化导致径流增加,其中降雨量的增加和潜在蒸发量的减少是主要原因,而人类活动主要起减流的作用;干流和3大子流域气候变化对径流变化的贡献率高于人类活动,仅21世纪初建溪流域和沙溪流域除外.可见,气候变化是闽江流域径流增加的主要原因,但人类活动的影响不容忽视." @default.
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- W3186176972 date "2016-01-01" @default.
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- W3186176972 title "Impacts of climate variability and human activities on runoff of Minjiang River Basin" @default.
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