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- W3189553731 abstract "Since 2018, banks have implemented the expected credit loss (ECL) model under International Financial Reporting Standard (IFRS) 9 to estimate loan losses, which replaces the incurred loss model under International Accounting Standard (IAS) 39. The key novelty of the ECL model is the incorporation of forward-looking information for recognizing accounting loan loss provisions (LLPs), which provides ample room for managerial discretion. Over the period 2014–2019, I first show that the shift to the ECL model improves the timeliness of loan loss recognition. However, under the IFRS 9 regime managers also use their accounting discretion more aggressively over LLP estimates to smooth earnings. I then investigate whether IFRS 9 improves the relevance of LLPs for credit default swap (CDS) pricing. I report that LLPs under IFRS 9 are incrementally more relevant than under IAS 39 for CDS pricing but mostly concentrated amongst banks with weaker pre-IFRS 9 information environments. I further show that under the IFRS 9 regime, LLPs are relevant for CDS pricing only when LLPs consistently reflect future expected losses while earnings smoothing via LLP generally impair the credit-risk relevance of LLPs. Finally, I find that strong governance is imperative for providing useful LLP estimates for CDS pricing." @default.
- W3189553731 created "2021-08-16" @default.
- W3189553731 creator A5020026613 @default.
- W3189553731 date "2021-08-04" @default.
- W3189553731 modified "2023-10-06" @default.
- W3189553731 title "The Credit-Risk Relevance of Loan Impairments Under IFRS 9 for CDS Pricing: Early Evidence" @default.
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- W3189553731 doi "https://doi.org/10.1080/09638180.2021.1956985" @default.
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