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- W3192307293 abstract "Abstract The paper’s theoretical significance is based on the system conceptual view concerning GDP growth under environmental restrictions. The primary point of the paper is how environmental constraints restrict or push up GDP growth. The authors evaluate the nature of the interdependence between GDP growth and carbon dioxide emission, wastes, effluent emission, nitrogen effluent emission, emissions in total for the 2000-2018. GDP growth scenarios until 2030 were built under the emissions and waste reduction targets (+-20% from the existing level). The authors use the Kaya equation methodology for the modelling GDP under environmental constraints. There is a negative trend towards a decline in the ecological investments impact on Russia's GDP. It is necessary to carefully analyze the possible reasons for reducing the impact of the ecological investments on GDP. Total emissions and CO 2 emissions strongly correlated with total investments in air protection to the GDP; these emissions have the most influence on the GDP level. The investments in water and land protection will grow until 2030. The paper approved the results from previous researchers that the results indicate that most of the variations in CO2 emissions are determined by variations in GDP, so reducing CO2 emissions in the long run can be achieved by continuously increasing GDP. The authors look in the future hoping that Russia would be brave to change ways concerning environmental protection from “extreme and post-crises management” into investments into ecological protection to prevent cataclysms and disasters. It is shortsighted for future try to change something after a disaster has happened." @default.
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- W3192307293 date "2021-08-03" @default.
- W3192307293 modified "2023-09-25" @default.
- W3192307293 title "Russian GDP 2030: Scenarios Under Pollutant Emissions Constraints" @default.
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- W3192307293 doi "https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-663667/v1" @default.
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