Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W3198884630> ?p ?o ?g. }
Showing items 1 to 74 of
74
with 100 items per page.
- W3198884630 abstract "Predicting catastrophes sometimes involves heavy-tailed distributions with no mean, eluding proactive policy since expected cost-benefit based analysis fails. We study US government counterterrorism policy, given heightened risk of terrorism. However, terrorism involves human behavior. We synthesize the behavioral and statistical aspects within an adversary-defender game. Calibration to extensive data shows that sometimes Weibull with its heavy tail, but finite mean, fits best and rational policy is feasible. Here, we find US counterterrorism expenditures are nearly optimal and then estimate terrorists’ unobserved parameters, e.g. difficulty to attack. Other times Generalized-Pareto, with no mean, fits best and rational policy fails. Here, we offer practical “work-around”." @default.
- W3198884630 created "2021-09-13" @default.
- W3198884630 creator A5023299233 @default.
- W3198884630 creator A5071160366 @default.
- W3198884630 date "2019-01-01" @default.
- W3198884630 modified "2023-09-25" @default.
- W3198884630 title "Catastrophe and Rational Policy: Case of National Security" @default.
- W3198884630 doi "https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3427257" @default.
- W3198884630 hasPublicationYear "2019" @default.
- W3198884630 type Work @default.
- W3198884630 sameAs 3198884630 @default.
- W3198884630 citedByCount "0" @default.
- W3198884630 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
- W3198884630 hasAuthorship W3198884630A5023299233 @default.
- W3198884630 hasAuthorship W3198884630A5071160366 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConcept C105795698 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConcept C127413603 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConcept C137635306 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConcept C138885662 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConcept C144237770 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConcept C162324750 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConcept C173291955 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConcept C177142836 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConcept C17744445 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConcept C18762648 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConcept C199539241 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConcept C203133693 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConcept C21547014 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConcept C2778137410 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConcept C38652104 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConcept C41065033 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConcept C41895202 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConcept C528167355 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConcept C78519656 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConceptScore W3198884630C105795698 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConceptScore W3198884630C127413603 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConceptScore W3198884630C137635306 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConceptScore W3198884630C138885662 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConceptScore W3198884630C144237770 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConceptScore W3198884630C162324750 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConceptScore W3198884630C173291955 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConceptScore W3198884630C177142836 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConceptScore W3198884630C17744445 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConceptScore W3198884630C18762648 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConceptScore W3198884630C199539241 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConceptScore W3198884630C203133693 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConceptScore W3198884630C21547014 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConceptScore W3198884630C2778137410 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConceptScore W3198884630C33923547 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConceptScore W3198884630C38652104 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConceptScore W3198884630C41008148 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConceptScore W3198884630C41065033 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConceptScore W3198884630C41895202 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConceptScore W3198884630C528167355 @default.
- W3198884630 hasConceptScore W3198884630C78519656 @default.
- W3198884630 hasLocation W31988846301 @default.
- W3198884630 hasOpenAccess W3198884630 @default.
- W3198884630 hasPrimaryLocation W31988846301 @default.
- W3198884630 hasRelatedWork W1555184545 @default.
- W3198884630 hasRelatedWork W2050527039 @default.
- W3198884630 hasRelatedWork W2059417808 @default.
- W3198884630 hasRelatedWork W2060166283 @default.
- W3198884630 hasRelatedWork W2070924607 @default.
- W3198884630 hasRelatedWork W2229122768 @default.
- W3198884630 hasRelatedWork W2410138210 @default.
- W3198884630 hasRelatedWork W2758321654 @default.
- W3198884630 hasRelatedWork W3164505755 @default.
- W3198884630 hasRelatedWork W3198884630 @default.
- W3198884630 isParatext "false" @default.
- W3198884630 isRetracted "false" @default.
- W3198884630 magId "3198884630" @default.
- W3198884630 workType "article" @default.