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- W3199020223 abstract "Scaling experimentally derived effects of CO 2 on marine fauna to population responses is critical for informing management about potential ecological ramifications of ocean acidification. We used an individual-based model of winter flounder to extrapolate laboratory-derived effects of elevated CO 2 assumed for early life stages of fish to long-term population dynamics. An offspring module with detailed hourly to daily representations of spawning, growth, and mortality that incorporates potential elevated CO 2 effects was linked to an annual time-step parent module. We calibrated the model using a 40 yr Reference simulation (1977-2016) that included gradual warming and then performed ‘Retrospective’ simulations that assumed a suite of elevated CO 2 effects by changing fertilization rate, mortality rate of embryos due to developmental malformations, larval growth rate, and size-at-settlement. ‘Recovery’ simulations that started at low population size were then used to further explore possible interactions between the effects of CO 2 and warming on population productivity. Warming had a major negative effect on the simulated winter flounder population abundance, and reduced larval growth had the largest single impact among the CO 2 effects tested. When a combination of the assumed CO 2 effects was imposed together, average annual recruitment and spawning stock biomass were reduced by half. In the Recovery simulations, inclusion of CO 2 effects amplified the progressive decrease in population productivity with warming. Our analysis is speculative and a first step towards addressing the need for extrapolating from laboratory effects of ocean acidification to broader, ecologically relevant scales." @default.
- W3199020223 created "2021-09-27" @default.
- W3199020223 creator A5026484363 @default.
- W3199020223 creator A5076847345 @default.
- W3199020223 creator A5083873938 @default.
- W3199020223 date "2021-12-09" @default.
- W3199020223 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W3199020223 title "Simulating fish population responses to elevated CO2: a case study using winter flounder" @default.
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