Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W3205988049> ?p ?o ?g. }
- W3205988049 endingPage "9726" @default.
- W3205988049 startingPage "9726" @default.
- W3205988049 abstract "Forecasting the dynamics of the number of cases with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in a given population is a challenging task due to behavioural changes which occur over short periods. Planning of hospital resources and containment measures in the near term require a scenario analysis and the use of predictive models to gain insight into possible outcomes for each scenario. In this paper, we present the SEIR-H epidemiological model for the spread dynamics in a given population and the impact of COVID-19 in the local health system. It was developed as an extension of the classic SEIR model to account for required hospital resources and behavioural changes of the population in response to containment measures. Time-varying parameters such as transmissibility are estimated using Bayesian methods, based on the database of reported cases with a moving time-window strategy. The assessment of the model offers reasonable results with estimated parameters and simulations, reflecting the observed dynamics in Paraguay. The proposed model can be used to simulate future scenarios and possible effects of containment strategies, to guide the public institution response based on the available resources in the local health system." @default.
- W3205988049 created "2021-10-25" @default.
- W3205988049 creator A5014624938 @default.
- W3205988049 creator A5028615417 @default.
- W3205988049 creator A5032363080 @default.
- W3205988049 creator A5035767545 @default.
- W3205988049 creator A5036027362 @default.
- W3205988049 creator A5042325206 @default.
- W3205988049 creator A5042421874 @default.
- W3205988049 creator A5042879128 @default.
- W3205988049 creator A5053499539 @default.
- W3205988049 creator A5056656076 @default.
- W3205988049 creator A5056664062 @default.
- W3205988049 creator A5062120427 @default.
- W3205988049 date "2021-10-18" @default.
- W3205988049 modified "2023-10-17" @default.
- W3205988049 title "A Mathematical Model for COVID-19 with Variable Transmissibility and Hospitalizations: A Case Study in Paraguay" @default.
- W3205988049 cites W1538902679 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W1973106743 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W2142635246 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W2161728228 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W2478027467 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W2885629070 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W2903293690 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W3003573988 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W3003668884 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W3009155494 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W3009935283 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W3012696613 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W3012864042 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W3013514456 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W3014842224 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W3015571324 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W3018782651 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W3019559535 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W3020383891 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W3023242899 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W3035427416 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W3036356470 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W3037898693 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W3040264860 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W3084370551 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W3097453950 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W3100054078 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W3113399713 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W3117830403 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W3120274174 @default.
- W3205988049 cites W3163299620 @default.
- W3205988049 doi "https://doi.org/10.3390/app11209726" @default.
- W3205988049 hasPublicationYear "2021" @default.
- W3205988049 type Work @default.
- W3205988049 sameAs 3205988049 @default.
- W3205988049 citedByCount "2" @default.
- W3205988049 countsByYear W32059880492023 @default.
- W3205988049 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
- W3205988049 hasAuthorship W3205988049A5014624938 @default.
- W3205988049 hasAuthorship W3205988049A5028615417 @default.
- W3205988049 hasAuthorship W3205988049A5032363080 @default.
- W3205988049 hasAuthorship W3205988049A5035767545 @default.
- W3205988049 hasAuthorship W3205988049A5036027362 @default.
- W3205988049 hasAuthorship W3205988049A5042325206 @default.
- W3205988049 hasAuthorship W3205988049A5042421874 @default.
- W3205988049 hasAuthorship W3205988049A5042879128 @default.
- W3205988049 hasAuthorship W3205988049A5053499539 @default.
- W3205988049 hasAuthorship W3205988049A5056656076 @default.
- W3205988049 hasAuthorship W3205988049A5056664062 @default.
- W3205988049 hasAuthorship W3205988049A5062120427 @default.
- W3205988049 hasBestOaLocation W32059880491 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConcept C107673813 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConcept C121332964 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConcept C142724271 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConcept C149782125 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConcept C154945302 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConcept C1627819 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConcept C16683452 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConcept C198394728 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConcept C2779134260 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConcept C2908647359 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConcept C3008058167 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConcept C42475967 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConcept C45799244 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConcept C524204448 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConcept C62520636 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConcept C71924100 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConcept C99454951 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConceptScore W3205988049C107673813 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConceptScore W3205988049C121332964 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConceptScore W3205988049C142724271 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConceptScore W3205988049C149782125 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConceptScore W3205988049C154945302 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConceptScore W3205988049C1627819 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConceptScore W3205988049C16683452 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConceptScore W3205988049C198394728 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConceptScore W3205988049C2779134260 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConceptScore W3205988049C2908647359 @default.
- W3205988049 hasConceptScore W3205988049C3008058167 @default.