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• W3207731476 abstract "Croplands are the largest anthropogenic source of nitrous oxide (N2O), a powerful greenhouse gas that contributes to the growing atmospheric N2O burden. However, few studies provide a comprehensive depiction of future cropland-N2O emissions on a national scale due to a lack of accurate cropland prediction data. Herein, we present a newly developed distributed land-use change prediction model for the high-precision prediction of national-scale land-use change. The high-precision land-use data provide an opportunity to elucidate how the changes in cropland area will affect the magnitude and spatial distribution of N2O emissions from China's croplands during 2020-2070. The results showed a declining trend in China's total cropland-N2O emissions from 0.44 ± 0.03 Tg N/year in 2020 to 0.39 ± 0.07 Tg N/year in 2070, consistent with a cropland area reduction from (1.78 ± 0.02) × 108 ha to (1.40 ± 0.15) × 108 ha. However, approximately 31% of all calculated cities in China would emit more than the present level. Furthermore, different land use and climate change scenarios would have important impacts on cropland-N2O emissions. The Grain for Green Plan implemented in China would effectively control emissions by approximately 12%." @default.
• W3207731476 created "2021-10-25" @default.
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• W3207731476 date "2021-10-22" @default.
• W3207731476 modified "2023-10-13" @default.
• W3207731476 title "A Declining Trend in China’s Future Cropland-N₂O Emissions Due to Reduced Cropland Area" @default.
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• W3207731476 doi "https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.1c03612" @default.
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