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- W3215570600 abstract "To restore climatic balance and sustain the ever-growing population in the face of rapid climate change and land use, a sustainable approach to managing natural resources is the need of the hour. One of the ways this approach manifests itself is through water management, specifically runoff. The present study attempts to do that by following the changes in the nature and trend of volumetric and surface runoff depth in two land use and two climatic scenarios. While two LULC scenarios are intended to observe the change induced by a future where deforestation and desertification is the norm and a future where land use change has been guided by sustainability concepts, the two climatic scenarios are intended to model a future where the present climatic situation has continued to fester with temperatures stabilizing only by the end of century and a future where aggressive attempts had been made to limit the rate of human-induced climate change with temperatures stabilizing by mid-century i.e. RCP 4.5 and RCP 2.6 respectively. Furthermore, while SWAT has been used for the hydrologic modelling, LCM has been used for generating projected land use land cover maps. For integrating different climatic scenarios, the present study has relied on CORDEX derived RCPs. The results indicate that while both maximum temperature and precipitation is expected to be increase significantly in both climatic scenarios, minimum temperature takes a significant dip in case of RCP 2.6. Against this backdrop, while the volumetric runoff registers an overall increase across the basin, surface runoff is expected to increase in the middle, decrease in the lower reaches and register a mixed trend in the upper catchment. Furthermore, while the increase is highest in the middle, decrease, where applicable, is steepest in the lower reaches. Also, there seems to be a fairly wide variation in the runoff responses at seasonal and decadal level, especially in case of surface runoff. In volumetric runoff, while winter and autumn months register highest increase for RCP 4.5, winter and summer take the lead for RCP 2.6. In case of surface runoff, though, while much of the decadal decrease can be attributed to winter and autumn months, and the increase, if any, comes during monsoon for RCP 4.5 and predominantly during summer in case of RCP 2.6. Another significant and broad observation is that while increase is mainly attributable to the middle catchment, decreases, if any, is mostly due to overwhelming decline in the lower reaches. Though not significant enough to be stand out, it is observed that LULC scenario 2 leads to both the lowest increase and decrease, making sustainable growth scenario the closest to the present runoff situation." @default.
- W3215570600 created "2021-12-06" @default.
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- W3215570600 date "2021-11-19" @default.
- W3215570600 modified "2023-10-14" @default.
- W3215570600 title "Comparative Evaluation of Predicted Hydrologic Response Under Two Extremities of Sustainability Using Transformed Landuse‐Landcover and CORDEX‐Based Climatic Scenarios" @default.
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- W3215570600 doi "https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119793403.ch10" @default.
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