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• W334550907 abstract "This document is the compilation of the three threat reports that were producedindependently by the three FORWARD working groups during the second phaseof the project. These working groups were established after the first FORWARDworkshop that was held in Goteborg, Sweden in April 2008. They are briefly describedin the following paragraphs:The Malware and Fraud working group is concerned with the malware andfraud-related threats on the Internet. It covers topics that range from novel malwaredevelopments over botnets to cyber crime and Internet fraud.The Smart Environments working group is concerned with ordinary environmentsthat have been enhanced by interconnected computer equipment. There isgeneral expectation that a large number of small devices such as sensors and mobilephones will be interconnected. The group aims to identify emerging trendswith respect to security in this domain.The Critical Systems working group focuses on critical systems whose disruptionof operation can lead to significant material loss or threaten human life. Itattempts to identify emerging threats in this area.For our work, we introduce the following definition of threat:Threat - Definition : A threat is any indication, circumstance, or event with thepotential to cause harm to an ICT infrastructure and the assets that dependon this infrastructure.Our version is related to a variety of other definitions that exist in the literature,such as the ones provided by ISO/IEC and the EU Green Paper for Criticalinfrastructure protection, 2005 [20]. In both cases, a threat is described as a event,circumstance, or incident that has the potential to cause destruction or, more general,harm to the system or organization that is exposed to the threat. We adapt ourdefinition to explicitly refer to ICT infrastructures and assets, as this is the scope of the project. However, we observe that the definition is reasonably general toaccommodate a wide range of possible threats and scenarios. This is necessary toallow different working groups to identify interesting threats without being constrainedby an overly narrow, initial definition.Creating a list of emerging and future threats is a challenging endeavor. Thepast has witnessed many stunning scientific and technical advances, and these advanceshave transformed society and the way people use and rely on informationtechnology. Of course, also attackers are creative and constantly invent new waysof abusing technologies and applications for financial profit or simply because theyenjoy virtual vandalism. Thus, trying to imagine potential developments is alwaysat risk of failing to accurately predict the future. Nevertheless, it is important toactively think about the potential risks and threats that emerging technologies andtheir applications entail. Otherwise, one would simply concede to the adversariesand, at most, react to their new attacks.One way to think about emerging and future threats is to bring together a groupof domain experts and let them enter a dialogue in which they will (hopefully)come up with a set of possible threats. This is one possible way, and in part an approachthat FORWARD leverages through its working groups. However, it wouldbe desirable to introduce a more systematic methodology to think about emergingthreats. In FORWARD, we attempt to do this by introducing a number of “axes”along which developments can happen (or are currently unfolding). These axesserve as the main drivers of development in general, and allow us to set a frameworkin which each working group can systematically explore threats. [...]" @default.
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• W334550907 date "2009-01-01" @default.
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• W334550907 title "FORWARD Threat Report" @default.
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