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• W355730683 abstract "Abstract Sovereign debt crises are often accompanied by deep recessions with sharp declines in external credit to the private sector. In a sample of emerging economies we find that both, sovereign and private interest rate spreads are countercyclical. This paper presents a model of a small open economy that accounts for these empirical regularities. It includes private firms, which finance a fraction of imports by external debt and are subject to idiosyncratic productivity risk, and a government, which borrows internationally and taxes firms to finance public expenditures. The model gives rise to endogenous private and sovereign interest rate spreads and a dynamic feedback mechanism between sovereign and private default risks through the endogenous response of fiscal policy to adverse productivity shocks." @default.
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• W355730683 date "2020-03-01" @default.
• W355730683 modified "2023-10-08" @default.
• W355730683 title "Sovereign and private default risks over the business cycle" @default.
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• W355730683 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2020.103293" @default.
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