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- W4169745 abstract "In this paper we introduce a model for the description of natural resourcesAƒi?½A¯Â?½ price paths, which in contrast to the existing literature, captures non-linear trends by means of a simple trigonometric function. We then use a set of model selection criteria to compare our trigonometric trend model with SladeAƒi?½A¯Â?½s (1982) quadratic trend model, as well as a more general one, that nests both of these models. We estimate the models using price series of the main fuel and metal resources prices, analyzed by the relevant literature, and Aƒi?½A¯Â?½nd that in most cases the trigonometric trend model is selected as the one better Aƒi?½A¯Â?½tting the data. Our results have implications for the long-run projection of natural resources prices and, consequently, for the relevance of the Hotelling rule." @default.
- W4169745 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W4169745 date "2013-02-19" @default.
- W4169745 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W4169745 title "Oscillatory Versus Quadratic Trends in Natural Resource Commodity Prices" @default.
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