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- W417038515 abstract "The paper models the Brazilian market of hydrated alcohol fuel (ethanol) and details the role of price rates ethanol/sugar and ethanol/gasoline in the long run equilibrium. In the market balance, the transmission elasticities of the ethanol price w.r.t. sugar and gasoline prices are positive and add 1. This condition favors the competitiveness of ethanol vis a vis sugar (supply side) and gasoline (demand side). A cointegration analysis is then carried out to check the adequacy of the model to describe the price behavior in the retail market of metropolitan areas of Sao Paulo and Rio de Janeiro (2001:07 – 2010:03). The results obtained suggest the robustness of the price rate relationship. Following the entry of flex-fuel vehicles into the Brazilian car market (2003 on), fuel demand switching between ethanol and gasoline gave rise to a consistent movement of their price rate towards the fuel efficiency rate. As a consequence, the estimated price transmission elasticity of ethanol with respect to gasoline (sugar), increases over time towards 1 (decreases towards zero). So, the consolidation of an ethanol retail market independent of the sugar market is now on the way, which is an important step towards the sugarcane industry restructuring. Finally, the current ethanol price adjusts to meet its long run equilibrium level within a cycle period of about one year. JEL codes: L11, L81, Q41, Q42." @default.
- W417038515 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W417038515 creator A5026456455 @default.
- W417038515 date "2010-01-01" @default.
- W417038515 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W417038515 title "MODELING THE BRAZILIAN ETHANOL MARKET: How flex-fuel vehicles are shaping the long run equilibrium" @default.
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- W417038515 hasPublicationYear "2010" @default.
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