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- W4200248618 abstract "Climate change has greatly impacted hydrologic regimes of lakes in sub-tropical and tropical areas. However, three major challenges impede the accuracy of hydrological simulation and impact assessment processes, namely avoiding uncertainties caused by climate scenarios, selecting comprehensive hydrological indicators, and enhancing spatiotemporal precision of hydrological simulation. To address these issues, the current case study used the Lake Dianchi Basin (LDB) to demonstrate a sub-catchment scale and detailed integrated model framework. This framework was generated based on localized climate change possibilities, detailed hydrological simulation results, and a comprehensive assessment of the impacts of climate change on hydrologic regimes. The results showed that (1) the sub-tropical LDB has hydrologic regimes that are significantly impacted by climate change with changes in precipitation exerting a greater impact than air temperature changes. (2) The annual scale runoff, as well as 16 other hydrological indicators exhibit large variation among the 18 climate scenarios. Wet season and 1/3/7-day minimums/maximums may be more significantly impacted by climate change than dry season and other indicators. (3) The hydrologic regimes of the LDB is vulnerable to climate change, which may pose enormous ecological and socio-economic risk to the LDB. Among all six sub-catchments, Sub_06, characterized by a hilly landscape, would be impacted the most by climate change. Collectively, the findings of this study indicate that regions with complex climatic conditions and topography have different responses in annual scale runoff and extreme indicators, which must be fully considered." @default.
- W4200248618 created "2021-12-31" @default.
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- W4200248618 date "2021-11-09" @default.
- W4200248618 modified "2023-10-16" @default.
- W4200248618 title "Predicting hydrological alterations to quantitative and localized climate change in plateau regions: A case study of the Lake Dianchi Basin, China" @default.
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- W4200248618 doi "https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-021-02126-6" @default.
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