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- W4200609870 abstract "In this study, we aimed to evaluate the monthly precipitation forecasts of JMA/MRI-CPS2, a global dynamical seasonal climate forecast (Dyn-SCF) system operated in the Japan Meteorological Agency, by comparing them with the forecasts of a statistical SCF (St-SCF) system using climate indices systematically and globally. Accordingly, we developed a new global St-SCF system using 18 climate indices and compared the monthly precipitation of this system with those of JMA/MRI-CPS2. Consequently, it was found that JMA/MRI-CPS2 forecasts are superior to St-SCFs around the equator (10° S–10° N) even for six-month lead forecasts. For one-month lead forecasts, the accuracy of JMA/MRI-CPS2 forecasts was higher than that of St-SCFs when viewed globally. In contrast, for forecasts made two months or longer in advance, St-SCFs had an advantage in global forecasts. In addition to evaluating the accuracy of JMA/MRI-CPS2 forecasts, the slow dynamics of the ocean and atmosphere, not reproduced by the JMA/MRI-CPS2 system, were determined by comparing the evaluations, and it was concluded that this could contribute to improving Dyn-SCF systems." @default.
- W4200609870 created "2021-12-31" @default.
- W4200609870 creator A5005226176 @default.
- W4200609870 date "2021-12-10" @default.
- W4200609870 modified "2023-10-02" @default.
- W4200609870 title "Reply on RC1" @default.
- W4200609870 doi "https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2021-131-ac4" @default.
- W4200609870 hasPublicationYear "2021" @default.
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