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• W4205854785 abstract "The nature and dynamics of mutations associated with the emergence, spread and vanishing of SARS-CoV-2 variants causing successive waves are complex. We determined the kinetics of the most common French variant (Marseille-4) for 10 months since its onset in July 2020. Here, we analysed and classified into subvariants and lineages 7,453 genomes obtained by next-generation sequencing. We identified two subvariants, Marseille-4A, which contains 22 different lineages of at least 50 genomes, and Marseille-4B. Their average lifetime was 4.1+/-1.4 months, during which 4.1+/-2.6 mutations accumulated. Growth rate was 0.079+/-0.045, varying from 0.010 to 0.173. All the lineages exhibited a gamma distribution. Several beneficial mutations at unpredicted sites initiated a new outbreak, while the accumulation of other mutations resulted in more viral heterogenicity, increased diversity and vanishing of the lineages. Marseille-4B emerged when the other Marseille-4 lineages vanished. Its ORF8 gene was knocked out by a stop codon, as reported in several mink lineages and in the alpha variant. This subvariant was associated with increased hospitalization and death rates, suggesting that ORF8 is a nonvirulence gene. We speculate that the observed heterogenicity of a lineage may predict the end of the outbreak." @default.
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• W4205854785 date "2022-01-08" @default.
• W4205854785 modified "2023-10-18" @default.
• W4205854785 title "The emergence, spread and vanishing of a French SARS-CoV-2 variant exemplifies the fate of RNA virus epidemics and obeys the Black Queen rule" @default.
• W4205854785 doi "https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.01.04.22268715" @default.
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