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• W42096518 abstract "In this paper, we explore the probability of merger completion/success for the 1991 to 2001 period We construct a prediction model for merger completion and, among other issues, test how payment methods/merger types can influence success for three basic types of takeover offers: cash tender, stock swap, and collar. Our multivariate test reveals that takeover attempts offering cash are more likely to succeed than those which offer payment in the form of stock. We argue that the uncertain equity values implicit in the stock payment method accounts for the reduced success rate. A range of exchange ratios (collar offers) tends to improve the chance of success as compared with a fixed exchange ratio. We find that our prediction model, based on both historical and new findings, can be used to improve the risk-adjusted returns of risk arbitrage and related strategies." @default.
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• W42096518 date "2003-01-01" @default.
• W42096518 modified "2023-09-24" @default.
• W42096518 title "Predicting Successful Takeovers and Risk Arbitrage" @default.
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