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- W4236821054 abstract "This chapter explains how to model uncertainty in multi-asset development projects using pricing factors. It helps the reader to understand the valuation of development projects under uncertainty. The chapter describes how real estate pricing probability and dynamics inputs impact simulated project performance without flexibility. It shows how to analyze future uncertainty by embedding the traditional discounted cash flow (DCF) pro forma of Garden City development project into a Monte Carlo simulation spreadsheet model. The chapter discusses the nature of the resulting simulation for the development project, including the typical target probability distributions, and the effects of varying input assumptions about the nature of the uncertainty. The results of modeling uncertainty for the Garden City project that are derived from pricing factors reflect input assumptions about real estate price dynamics." @default.
- W4236821054 created "2022-05-12" @default.
- W4236821054 date "2018-02-23" @default.
- W4236821054 modified "2023-10-17" @default.
- W4236821054 title "Effect of Uncertainty without Flexibility in Development Project Evaluation" @default.
- W4236821054 doi "https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119106470.ch17" @default.
- W4236821054 hasPublicationYear "2018" @default.
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