Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W4247675831> ?p ?o ?g. }
Showing items 1 to 76 of
76
with 100 items per page.
- W4247675831 abstract "In a warming world, temperature extremes are expected to show a distinguishable change over much of the globe1 and in many regions this change has already been detected in observations2,3. Although previous studies predict an increase in heat extreme events, the magnitude of the change varies greatly among different models even for the same mean warming4. This uncertainty has been linked to differences in land-atmosphere feedbacks across models2. Here we show that a significant constraint for future projections can be based on the ability of climate models to accurately simulate the variability of daily atmospheric surface maximum temperature (TX). By applying an emergent constraint (EC) locally on a metric describing TX variability with a large ensemble of CMIP55 and CMIP66 models we demonstrate that the best estimate increase in hot extremes could be worse than previously estimated over a large part of the land, with an increase in extremes of up to 50% larger than based on the multi-model mean. Our findings highlight the importance to correctly simulate TX variability during the historical period. Analysis of models soil moisture suggests that the EC arises because both TX variability and changes in hot extremes are related to land surface humidity processes." @default.
- W4247675831 created "2022-05-12" @default.
- W4247675831 creator A5009448888 @default.
- W4247675831 creator A5068278788 @default.
- W4247675831 creator A5083611131 @default.
- W4247675831 creator A5083816490 @default.
- W4247675831 date "2019-12-04" @default.
- W4247675831 modified "2023-09-29" @default.
- W4247675831 title "Future heat extremes likely to have been underestimated" @default.
- W4247675831 doi "https://doi.org/10.31223/osf.io/jnvye" @default.
- W4247675831 hasPublicationYear "2019" @default.
- W4247675831 type Work @default.
- W4247675831 citedByCount "0" @default.
- W4247675831 crossrefType "posted-content" @default.
- W4247675831 hasAuthorship W4247675831A5009448888 @default.
- W4247675831 hasAuthorship W4247675831A5068278788 @default.
- W4247675831 hasAuthorship W4247675831A5083611131 @default.
- W4247675831 hasAuthorship W4247675831A5083816490 @default.
- W4247675831 hasBestOaLocation W42476758311 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConcept C111368507 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConcept C121332964 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConcept C126691448 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConcept C127313418 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConcept C1276947 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConcept C132651083 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConcept C153294291 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConcept C162324750 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConcept C168754636 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConcept C176217482 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConcept C205649164 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConcept C21547014 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConcept C2524010 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConcept C2776036281 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConcept C2993643576 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConcept C39432304 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConcept C49204034 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConcept C65440619 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConcept C91586092 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConceptScore W4247675831C111368507 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConceptScore W4247675831C121332964 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConceptScore W4247675831C126691448 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConceptScore W4247675831C127313418 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConceptScore W4247675831C1276947 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConceptScore W4247675831C132651083 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConceptScore W4247675831C153294291 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConceptScore W4247675831C162324750 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConceptScore W4247675831C168754636 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConceptScore W4247675831C176217482 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConceptScore W4247675831C205649164 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConceptScore W4247675831C21547014 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConceptScore W4247675831C2524010 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConceptScore W4247675831C2776036281 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConceptScore W4247675831C2993643576 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConceptScore W4247675831C33923547 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConceptScore W4247675831C39432304 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConceptScore W4247675831C49204034 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConceptScore W4247675831C65440619 @default.
- W4247675831 hasConceptScore W4247675831C91586092 @default.
- W4247675831 hasLocation W42476758311 @default.
- W4247675831 hasLocation W42476758312 @default.
- W4247675831 hasOpenAccess W4247675831 @default.
- W4247675831 hasPrimaryLocation W42476758311 @default.
- W4247675831 hasRelatedWork W2012923864 @default.
- W4247675831 hasRelatedWork W2167860608 @default.
- W4247675831 hasRelatedWork W2292106822 @default.
- W4247675831 hasRelatedWork W2530909625 @default.
- W4247675831 hasRelatedWork W2550669136 @default.
- W4247675831 hasRelatedWork W2984911469 @default.
- W4247675831 hasRelatedWork W3009459492 @default.
- W4247675831 hasRelatedWork W3198983295 @default.
- W4247675831 hasRelatedWork W4296271450 @default.
- W4247675831 hasRelatedWork W4312166069 @default.
- W4247675831 isParatext "false" @default.
- W4247675831 isRetracted "false" @default.
- W4247675831 workType "article" @default.