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- W4254694807 abstract "Abstract. The analysis of earthquake time series in a new time domain termed natural time enables the uncovering of hidden properties in time series of complex systems and has been recently employed as basis of a method to estimate seismic risk. Applying this analysis, as an example, to the Japanese seismic data from 1 January 1984 until the super-giant M9 Tohoku earthquake on 11 March 2011, we find that almost three months before its occurrence the entropy change of seismicity under time reversal is minimized on 22 December 2010, which signals an impending major earthquake. On this date the order parameter fluctuations of seismicity exhibit abrupt increase. This increase is accompanied by various phenomena, e.g., from this date the horizontal GPS azimuths start to become gradually oriented toward the southern direction, while they had random orientation during the preceding period. Two weeks later, a minimum of the order parameter fluctuations of seismicity appears accompanied by anomalous Earth's magnetic field variations and by full alignment of the orientations of GPS azimuths southwards leading to the most intense crust uplift. These phenomena are discussed and found to be in accordance with a physical model which seems to explain on a unified basis anomalous precursory changes observed either in ground-based measurements or in satellite data." @default.
- W4254694807 created "2022-05-12" @default.
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- W4254694807 date "2019-03-04" @default.
- W4254694807 modified "2023-10-02" @default.
- W4254694807 title "Phenomena preceding major earthquakes interconnected through a physical model" @default.
- W4254694807 doi "https://doi.org/10.5194/angeo-2019-29" @default.
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