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- W4255596379 abstract "The assignment of personal probabilities to form a forensic practitioner's likelihood ratio is a mental operation subject to all the frailties of human memory, perception and judgment. While we agree that beliefs expressed as coherent probabilities are neither ‘right’ nor ‘wrong’ we argue that debate over this fact obscures both the requirement for and consideration of the ‘helpfulness’ of practitioner's opinayesions. We also question the extent to which a likelihood ratio based on personal probabilities can realistically be expected to ‘encapsulate all uncertainty’. Courts cannot rigorously assess a forensic practitioner's bare assertions of belief regarding evidential strength. At a minimum, information regarding the uncertainty both within and between the opinions of practitioners is required." @default.
- W4255596379 created "2022-05-12" @default.
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- W4255596379 date "2019-08-20" @default.
- W4255596379 modified "2023-09-29" @default.
- W4255596379 title "On the likelihood of 'encapsulating all uncertainty'" @default.
- W4255596379 doi "https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/suf8p" @default.
- W4255596379 hasPublicationYear "2019" @default.
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