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- W4288018478 abstract "The extent to which the ongoing decline in Arctic sea ice affects mid-latitude climate has received great attention and polarised opinions. The basic issue is whether the inter-annual variability in Arctic sea ice is the cause of, or the response to, variability in mid-latitude atmospheric circulation. A recent paper by Mori et al. (M19) claims to have reconciled previous conflicting studies by showing that a consistent mid-latitude climate response to inter-annual sea-ice anomalies can be identified in both the ERA-Interim reanalysis, taken as observations, and in an ensemble of atmosphere-only (AMIP) climate model simulations. We here demonstrate that such a conclusion cannot be drawn, due to issues with the interpretation of the maximum covariance analysis performed. After applying the M19 approach to the output from a simple statistical model, we conclude that a predominant atmospheric forcing of the sea-ice variability, rather than the converse, is the most plausible explanation of the results presented in M19." @default.
- W4288018478 created "2022-07-26" @default.
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- W4288018478 date "2019-11-25" @default.
- W4288018478 modified "2023-10-16" @default.
- W4288018478 title "Eurasian cooling in response to Arctic sea-ice loss is not proved by maximum covariance analysis" @default.
- W4288018478 doi "https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1911.10777" @default.
- W4288018478 hasPublicationYear "2019" @default.
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