FRINK Linked Data Fragments server

Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W4292707579> ?p ?o ?g. }

• W4292707579 endingPage "2770" @default.
• W4292707579 startingPage "2751" @default.
• W4292707579 abstract "Abstract. Mass livestock mortality events during severe winters, a phenomenon that Mongolians call dzud, cause the country significant socioeconomic problems. Dzud is an example of a compound event, meaning that multiple climatic and social drivers contribute to the risk of occurrence. Existing studies argue that the frequency and intensity of dzud events are rising due to the combined effects of climate change and variability, most notably summer drought and severe winter conditions, on top of socioeconomic dynamics such as overgrazing. Summer droughts are a precondition for dzud because scarce grasses cause malnutrition, making livestock more vulnerable to harsh winter conditions. However, studies investigating the association between climate and dzud typically look at a short time frame (i.e., after 1940), and few have investigated the risk or the recurrence of dzud over a century-scale climate record. This study aims to fill the gaps in technical knowledge about the recurrence probability of dzud by estimating the return periods of relevant climatic variables: summer drought conditions and winter minimum temperature. We divide the country into three regions (northwest, southwest, and east Mongolia) based on the mortality index at the soum (county) level. For droughts, our study uses as a proxy the tree-ring-reconstructed Palmer drought severity index (PDSI) for three regions between 1700–2013. For winter severity, our study uses observational data of winter minimum temperature after 1901 while inferring winter minimum temperature in Mongolia from instrumental data in Siberia that extend to the early 19th century. Using a generalized extreme value distribution with time-varying parameters, we find that the return periods of drought conditions vary over time, with variability increasing for all the regions. Winter temperature severity, however, does not change with time. The median temperature of the 100-year return period for winter minimum temperature in Mongolia over the past 300 years is estimated as −26.08 ∘C for the southwest, −27.99 ∘C for the northwest, and −25.31 ∘C for the east. The co-occurrence of summer drought and winter severity increases in all the regions in the early 21st century. The analysis suggests that a continued trend in summer drought would lead to increased vulnerability and malnutrition. Prospects for climate index insurance for livestock are also discussed." @default.
• W4292707579 created "2022-08-23" @default.
• W4292707579 creator A5000509358 @default.
• W4292707579 creator A5016505131 @default.
• W4292707579 creator A5027754361 @default.
• W4292707579 creator A5044194526 @default.
• W4292707579 creator A5050304050 @default.
• W4292707579 creator A5075113516 @default.
• W4292707579 date "2022-08-23" @default.
• W4292707579 modified "2023-10-14" @default.
• W4292707579 title "Estimating return intervals for extreme climate conditions related to winter disasters and livestock mortality in Mongolia" @default.
• W4292707579 cites W100656606 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W1500657154 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W1568217162 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W1569716231 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W1594830375 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W1725029742 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W1828563792 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W1850911213 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W1867005924 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W1891153072 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W1958305156 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W1959601095 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W1964238113 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W1970940206 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W1996304443 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W1998546290 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W1998871699 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2002941945 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2016028675 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2020297738 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2028267147 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2065755177 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2074076599 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2099196698 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2101261195 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2111292279 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2115098571 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2122046874 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2123814151 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2126603215 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2128684986 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2136253503 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2146003249 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2148650246 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2152764985 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2158196600 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2158700333 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2159689047 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2161413373 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2166238316 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2278957902 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2318680928 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2516934950 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2552257531 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2554528765 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2591576259 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2611349564 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2783868331 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2793713152 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2896182405 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W2981950413 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W3007742932 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W3035432101 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W3118148064 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W3185432464 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W4256194645 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W88914477 @default.
• W4292707579 cites W3092233991 @default.
• W4292707579 doi "https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2751-2022" @default.
• W4292707579 hasPublicationYear "2022" @default.
• W4292707579 type Work @default.
• W4292707579 citedByCount "1" @default.
• W4292707579 countsByYear W42927075792023 @default.
• W4292707579 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
• W4292707579 hasAuthorship W4292707579A5000509358 @default.
• W4292707579 hasAuthorship W4292707579A5016505131 @default.
• W4292707579 hasAuthorship W4292707579A5027754361 @default.
• W4292707579 hasAuthorship W4292707579A5044194526 @default.
• W4292707579 hasAuthorship W4292707579A5050304050 @default.
• W4292707579 hasAuthorship W4292707579A5075113516 @default.
• W4292707579 hasBestOaLocation W42927075791 @default.
• W4292707579 hasConcept C100970517 @default.
• W4292707579 hasConcept C112964050 @default.
• W4292707579 hasConcept C119857082 @default.
• W4292707579 hasConcept C127313418 @default.
• W4292707579 hasConcept C132651083 @default.
• W4292707579 hasConcept C18903297 @default.
• W4292707579 hasConcept C205537798 @default.
• W4292707579 hasConcept C205649164 @default.
• W4292707579 hasConcept C2780148112 @default.
• W4292707579 hasConcept C39432304 @default.
• W4292707579 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
• W4292707579 hasConcept C49204034 @default.
• W4292707579 hasConcept C86803240 @default.
• W4292707579 hasConcept C97137747 @default.
• W4292707579 hasConceptScore W4292707579C100970517 @default.
• W4292707579 hasConceptScore W4292707579C112964050 @default.

• next