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• W4306248857 abstract "Abstract Part of the economic recovery plans implemented by governments following COVID-19 is directed towards the energy transition. To understand the potential effects of these post-COVID green recovery packages on reductions of global greenhouse gas emissions until 2030, we investigated three different approaches. First, we analyzed simulation results of Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) to infer the change in CO 2 intensity of GDP that could result from post-COVID low-carbon investment plans. Second, we investigated the scenarios the International Energy Agency (IEA) provided based on a bottom-up energy system model. Combining the two approaches, we found that green recovery packages implemented and planned globally can lead to an emissions reduction of merely 1%–6% from the 2030 baseline levels at most. Third, we looked into the results of the Adaptative Regional Input-Output model, which simulates the dynamic effects of economic crisis and fiscal stimuli through supply chains following labor shortage. The third approach shows that the increase of activity driven by fiscal stimuli leads to a rebound of CO 2 emissions even if they do not target carbon-intensive sectors. We conclude that green recovery packages targeting low-carbon technologies have a limited impact on near-term CO 2 emissions and that demand-side incentives, as well as other policy efforts to disincentivize the use of fossil fuels, are also crucial for scaling up climate mitigation." @default.
• W4306248857 created "2022-10-15" @default.
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• W4306248857 date "2022-10-01" @default.
• W4306248857 modified "2023-10-14" @default.
• W4306248857 title "Limited impact of COVID-19 recovery packages on near-term CO₂ emissions pathways" @default.
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• W4306248857 doi "https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ac9aa6" @default.
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