FRINK Linked Data Fragments server

Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W4309112120> ?p ?o ?g. }

• W4309112120 endingPage "e0277521" @default.
• W4309112120 startingPage "e0277521" @default.
• W4309112120 abstract "The advent and distribution of vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 in late 2020 was thought to represent an effective means to control the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. This optimistic expectation was dashed by the omicron waves that emerged over the winter of 2021/2020 even in countries that had managed to vaccinate a large fraction of their populations, raising questions about whether it is possible to use scientific knowledge along with predictive models to anticipate changes and design management measures for the pandemic. Here, we used an extended SEIR model for SARS-CoV-2 transmission sequentially calibrated to data on cases and interventions implemented in Florida until Sept. 24 th 2021, and coupled to scenarios of plausible changes in key drivers of viral transmission, to evaluate the capacity of such a tool for exploring the future of the pandemic in the state. We show that while the introduction of vaccinations could have led to the permanent, albeit drawn-out, ending of the pandemic if immunity acts over the long-term, additional futures marked by complicated repeat waves of infection become possible if this immunity wanes over time. We demonstrate that the most recent omicron wave could have been predicted by this hybrid system, but only if timely information on the timing of variant emergence and its epidemiological features were made available. Simulations for the introduction of a new variant exhibiting higher transmissibility than omicron indicated that while this will result in repeat waves, forecasted peaks are unlikely to reach that observed for the omicron wave owing to levels of immunity established over time in the population. These results highlight that while limitations of models calibrated to past data for precisely forecasting the futures of epidemics must be recognized, insightful predictions of pandemic futures are still possible if uncertainties about changes in key drivers are captured appropriately through plausible scenarios." @default.
• W4309112120 created "2022-11-22" @default.
• W4309112120 creator A5027767640 @default.
• W4309112120 creator A5029014129 @default.
• W4309112120 creator A5054708803 @default.
• W4309112120 date "2022-11-15" @default.
• W4309112120 modified "2023-10-14" @default.
• W4309112120 title "Combining predictive models with future change scenarios can produce credible forecasts of COVID-19 futures" @default.
• W4309112120 cites W1569053816 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W2064645663 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W2080760786 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W2150945177 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W2648432042 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3016460100 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3016528319 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3016545960 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3042953920 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3047596299 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3047996516 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3080376427 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3082709900 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3093907933 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3096046600 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3104758842 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3111255098 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3113840440 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3114726562 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3128361403 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3134208712 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3153636933 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3154213577 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3159426474 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3179445896 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3183632116 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3186808655 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3192071558 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3193981713 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3199384045 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3200094384 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3200299601 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W3214441026 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W4206363571 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W4221111175 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W4225130422 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W4225575582 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W4226229183 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W4226240956 @default.
• W4309112120 cites W4226376477 @default.
• W4309112120 doi "https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0277521" @default.
• W4309112120 hasPubMedId "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/36378674" @default.
• W4309112120 hasPublicationYear "2022" @default.
• W4309112120 type Work @default.
• W4309112120 citedByCount "2" @default.
• W4309112120 countsByYear W43091121202023 @default.
• W4309112120 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
• W4309112120 hasAuthorship W4309112120A5027767640 @default.
• W4309112120 hasAuthorship W4309112120A5029014129 @default.
• W4309112120 hasAuthorship W4309112120A5054708803 @default.
• W4309112120 hasBestOaLocation W43091121201 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConcept C106159729 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConcept C106306483 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConcept C121332964 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConcept C142724271 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConcept C149782125 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConcept C159047783 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConcept C162324750 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConcept C16683452 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConcept C198394728 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConcept C2779134260 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConcept C3007834351 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConcept C3008058167 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConcept C45799244 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConcept C524204448 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConcept C62520636 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConcept C71924100 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConcept C761482 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConcept C76155785 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConcept C89623803 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConceptScore W4309112120C106159729 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConceptScore W4309112120C106306483 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConceptScore W4309112120C121332964 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConceptScore W4309112120C142724271 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConceptScore W4309112120C149782125 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConceptScore W4309112120C159047783 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConceptScore W4309112120C162324750 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConceptScore W4309112120C16683452 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConceptScore W4309112120C198394728 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConceptScore W4309112120C2779134260 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConceptScore W4309112120C3007834351 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConceptScore W4309112120C3008058167 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConceptScore W4309112120C41008148 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConceptScore W4309112120C45799244 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConceptScore W4309112120C524204448 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConceptScore W4309112120C62520636 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConceptScore W4309112120C71924100 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConceptScore W4309112120C761482 @default.
• W4309112120 hasConceptScore W4309112120C76155785 @default.

• next