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- W4309128399 abstract "Managing rare risks is the Holy Grail of risk management. Those are extremely unlikely events with potentially catastrophic impact. This makes their prediction very difficult, yet supremely important as they often mean the difference between life and death of individuals, companies, and even whole systems. The chapter reviews traditional methods of analysis and then presents an integrated approach combining the strengths of expert judgment, statistical modeling, and Monte Carlo simulations to gain a better understanding of rare risks in the digital economy. The aim is to outline the limits of predictability of such unlikely events and yet create a meaningful framework that allows for the evaluation of their potential scope. Based on that, contingency management plans can be devised within the constraints of organizational resources and pre-defined risk appetite." @default.
- W4309128399 created "2022-11-23" @default.
- W4309128399 creator A5036878246 @default.
- W4309128399 date "2022-11-17" @default.
- W4309128399 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W4309128399 title "Analyzing Rare Risks" @default.
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- W4309128399 doi "https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-18100-9_5" @default.
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