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• W4309213060 startingPage "15045" @default.
• W4309213060 abstract "In 2021, under the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality targets of China, Shanghai declared that it would peak carbon emissions by 2025. This would require the formulation of specific and effective implementation paths of low-carbon development. This paper conducts a dynamic study on Shanghai’s carbon dioxide emissions by establishing a system dynamic model of Shanghai’s economy-energy-carbon emission. It studies the implementation path of Shanghai’s carbon peaking and carbon neutrality targets by scenario analysis. The results show that under the Baseline Scenario, Shanghai’s carbon emissions will peak by 2035, which is later than what the government promised. However, the Carbon-Peak and Deep-Low-Carbon Scenarios suggest that Shanghai can achieve the carbon peaking target in 2025, and the CO2 emission intensity will drop by 89.2% and 92.4%, respectively, by 2060. Improving the industrial energy utilization efficiency and the proportion of clean electricity is crucial for Shanghai to reduce carbon emissions. The transportation sector will become the main sector of urban energy consumption in the late stage of carbon neutralization. Without considering carbon sinks, the costs of achieving carbon neutrality for the three scenarios are approximately 5.68 billion, 2.79 billion and 1.96 billion USD, respectively. Finally, this paper puts forward relevant suggestions on promoting the transformation of energy structure, and strengthening specific emission reduction measures of various departments, to provide references for Shanghai’s policy formulation." @default.
• W4309213060 created "2022-11-24" @default.
• W4309213060 creator A5024676481 @default.
• W4309213060 creator A5064424334 @default.
• W4309213060 date "2022-11-14" @default.
• W4309213060 modified "2023-10-18" @default.
• W4309213060 title "A System Dynamic Analysis of Urban Development Paths under Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality Targets: A Case Study of Shanghai" @default.
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• W4309213060 doi "https://doi.org/10.3390/su142215045" @default.
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