Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W4310238833> ?p ?o ?g. }
- W4310238833 abstract "Abstract The dynamics of human mobility have been known to play a critical role in the spread of infectious diseases like COVID-19. In this paper, we present a simple compact way to model the transmission of infectious disease through transportation networks using widely available aggregate mobility data in the form of a zone-level origin-destination (OD) travel flow matrix. A key feature of our model is that it not only captures the propagation of infection via direct connections between zones (first-order effects) as in most existing studies but also transmission effects that are due to subsequent interactions in the remainder of the system (higher-order effects). We demonstrate the importance of capturing higher-order effects in a simulation study. We then apply our model to study the first wave of COVID-19 infections in (i) Italy, and, (ii) the New York Tri-State area. We use daily data on mobility between Italian provinces (province-level OD data) and between Tri-State Area counties (county-level OD data), and daily reported caseloads at the same geographical levels. Our empirical results indicate substantial predictive power, particularly during the early stages of the outbreak. Our model forecasts at least 85% of the spatial variation in observed weekly COVID-19 cases. Most importantly, our model delivers crucial metrics to identify target areas for intervention." @default.
- W4310238833 created "2022-11-30" @default.
- W4310238833 creator A5007540651 @default.
- W4310238833 creator A5025115333 @default.
- W4310238833 creator A5057071824 @default.
- W4310238833 date "2022-11-29" @default.
- W4310238833 modified "2023-10-18" @default.
- W4310238833 title "Modelling the propagation of infectious disease via transportation networks" @default.
- W4310238833 cites W1878853999 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W1991288592 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W1993035486 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W1995876521 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W2016674662 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W2034785206 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W2047738810 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W2087632492 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W2090978188 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W2126175245 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W2129638010 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W2162301084 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W2319284762 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W2509348029 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W2587078066 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W2896809419 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W2909668218 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W3010131837 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W3011534780 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W3013603216 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W3019643748 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W3020001547 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W3021280759 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W3023617279 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W3023863810 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W3029457329 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W3039225830 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W3041250660 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W3046017759 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W3080785764 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W3081248760 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W3082790551 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W3092846951 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W3099011804 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W3105667161 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W3120090377 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W3174228498 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W3191642279 @default.
- W4310238833 cites W4220856790 @default.
- W4310238833 doi "https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-24866-3" @default.
- W4310238833 hasPubMedId "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/36446795" @default.
- W4310238833 hasPublicationYear "2022" @default.
- W4310238833 type Work @default.
- W4310238833 citedByCount "0" @default.
- W4310238833 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
- W4310238833 hasAuthorship W4310238833A5007540651 @default.
- W4310238833 hasAuthorship W4310238833A5025115333 @default.
- W4310238833 hasAuthorship W4310238833A5057071824 @default.
- W4310238833 hasBestOaLocation W43102388331 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConcept C116675565 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConcept C142724271 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConcept C149782125 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConcept C159047783 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConcept C205649164 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConcept C2779134260 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConcept C3008058167 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConcept C524204448 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConcept C71924100 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConcept C761482 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConcept C76155785 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConceptScore W4310238833C116675565 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConceptScore W4310238833C142724271 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConceptScore W4310238833C149782125 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConceptScore W4310238833C159047783 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConceptScore W4310238833C205649164 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConceptScore W4310238833C2779134260 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConceptScore W4310238833C3008058167 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConceptScore W4310238833C33923547 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConceptScore W4310238833C41008148 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConceptScore W4310238833C524204448 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConceptScore W4310238833C71924100 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConceptScore W4310238833C761482 @default.
- W4310238833 hasConceptScore W4310238833C76155785 @default.
- W4310238833 hasIssue "1" @default.
- W4310238833 hasLocation W43102388331 @default.
- W4310238833 hasLocation W43102388332 @default.
- W4310238833 hasLocation W43102388333 @default.
- W4310238833 hasLocation W43102388334 @default.
- W4310238833 hasLocation W43102388335 @default.
- W4310238833 hasOpenAccess W4310238833 @default.
- W4310238833 hasPrimaryLocation W43102388331 @default.
- W4310238833 hasRelatedWork W2031105058 @default.
- W4310238833 hasRelatedWork W2748952813 @default.
- W4310238833 hasRelatedWork W2899084033 @default.
- W4310238833 hasRelatedWork W3012012492 @default.
- W4310238833 hasRelatedWork W3031696803 @default.
- W4310238833 hasRelatedWork W3092178002 @default.
- W4310238833 hasRelatedWork W3119065498 @default.
- W4310238833 hasRelatedWork W4206284218 @default.
- W4310238833 hasRelatedWork W4244864054 @default.