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- W4316193589 abstract "Although probability theory defines how probability measures are expressed and used, it is agnostic to where these measures comes from. To apply probability theory, one must therefore make a number of auxiliary assumptions regarding assignment and interpretation of probability. In this paper I demonstrate that these assumptions can lead to radically different conclusions that are nevertheless mathematically and philosophically coherent. I further argue that behavioral science, as a rule, does not take these assumptions into consideration, but rather conflate the conceptual interpretation of probability with its mathematical application. This creates the implicit assumption that there is one, and only one, way of correctly applying probability theory to any given situation, when in reality probability theory can usually be applied in a number of different ways, all equally correct from both a mathematical and a philosophical perspective. In order for behavioral science to progress, these auxiliary assumptions must be taken into consideration, as well as be the subject of research in their own right." @default.
- W4316193589 created "2023-01-15" @default.
- W4316193589 creator A5054646003 @default.
- W4316193589 date "2023-01-13" @default.
- W4316193589 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
- W4316193589 title "The Neglected Importance of Auxiliary Assumptions when Applying Probability Theory" @default.
- W4316193589 doi "https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/36yas" @default.
- W4316193589 hasPublicationYear "2023" @default.
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