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- W4316590936 abstract "The magnitude of the aerosol forcing remains among the largest unknowns when assessing climate sensitivity over the historical period. Here, we describe a previously unconsidered source of uncertainty in aerosol forcing: the temporal variability of aerosol emissions. We show that time-variability in biomass burning (BB) emissions weakens the time-averaged total aerosol forcing, particularly in the Northern Hemisphere mid- to high-latitudes. BB emissions variability produces weaker (less negative) mean effective radiative forcing (ERF) compared to scenarios with no interannual variability in emissions. Satellite-estimated BB emissions (and associated variability) results in a June-September absolute ERF (relative to zero BB emissions) of -7.7 W⋅m-2 from 50-70ºN, compared to -10.4 W⋅m-2 when no emissions variability is used in the Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2). This difference in forcing is attributable to nonlinear aerosol-cloud interactions. Aerosol forcing will be overestimated (i.e. more negative) if emissions are temporally-smoothed." @default.
- W4316590936 created "2023-01-17" @default.
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- W4316590936 date "2023-01-16" @default.
- W4316590936 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W4316590936 title "Variability in Biomass Burning Emissions Weakens Aerosol Forcing due to Nonlinear Aerosol-Cloud Interactions" @default.
- W4316590936 doi "https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.167390534.40306804/v1" @default.
- W4316590936 hasPublicationYear "2023" @default.
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