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- W4317693858 abstract "Abstract Southern Australia's rainfall is highly variable and influenced by factors across scales from synoptic weather to large‐scale circulation and remote climate modes of variability. Anthropogenic climate change and natural variability modulate these factors and their interactions. However, studies often focus on changes in selected parts of the climate system with less emphasis on the system as a whole. As such, it is difficult to gain a complete understanding of how southern Australia's rainfall responds to broad‐scale changes in the climate system. We step through the existing literature on long‐term changes in synoptic‐to‐large‐scale atmospheric circulation and drivers of climate variability to form a more complete story of rainfall changes across southern Australia. This process reveals that the most robust change is the observed winter decline in rainfall as it is consistent with several changing climatic factors: decreasing rainfall from weather systems, strengthening subtropical ridge, poleward shifts in the Hadley Cell and the Southern Annular Mode, and increasing frequency of positive Indian Ocean Dipole events. In other seasons, particularly summer, changes in atmospheric circulation and drivers may not agree with observed rainfall changes, highlighting gaps in our knowledge of atmospheric dynamics and climate change processes. Future work should focus on research across temporal‐ and spatial‐scales, better understanding of jet interactions, the influence of stratospheric processes on the troposphere, and instances of contrasting trends in drivers and southern Australian rainfall changes. This article is categorized under: Paleoclimates and Current Trends > Modern Climate Change Paleoclimates and Current Trends > Detection and Attribution Assessing Impacts of Climate Change > Observed Impacts of Climate Change" @default.
- W4317693858 created "2023-01-22" @default.
- W4317693858 creator A5001155351 @default.
- W4317693858 creator A5006829197 @default.
- W4317693858 creator A5036644359 @default.
- W4317693858 creator A5054512481 @default.
- W4317693858 creator A5066233492 @default.
- W4317693858 creator A5070496020 @default.
- W4317693858 creator A5076787647 @default.
- W4317693858 creator A5079294462 @default.
- W4317693858 creator A5091127684 @default.
- W4317693858 date "2023-01-20" @default.
- W4317693858 modified "2023-10-06" @default.
- W4317693858 title "Can southern Australian rainfall decline be explained? A review of possible drivers" @default.
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