FRINK Linked Data Fragments server

Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W4318577731> ?p ?o ?g. }

• W4318577731 abstract "Leveraging artificial neural networks (ANNs) trained on climate model output, we use the spatial pattern of historical temperature observations to predict the time until critical global warming thresholds are reached. Although no observations are used during the training, validation, or testing, the ANNs accurately predict the timing of historical global warming from maps of historical annual temperature. The central estimate for the 1.5 °C global warming threshold is between 2033 and 2035, including a ±1σ range of 2028 to 2039 in the Intermediate (SSP2-4.5) climate forcing scenario, consistent with previous assessments. However, our data-driven approach also suggests a substantial probability of exceeding the 2 °C threshold even in the Low (SSP1-2.6) climate forcing scenario. While there are limitations to our approach, our results suggest a higher likelihood of reaching 2 °C in the Low scenario than indicated in some previous assessments—though the possibility that 2 °C could be avoided is not ruled out. Explainable AI methods reveal that the ANNs focus on particular geographic regions to predict the time until the global threshold is reached. Our framework provides a unique, data-driven approach for quantifying the signal of climate change in historical observations and for constraining the uncertainty in climate model projections. Given the substantial existing evidence of accelerating risks to natural and human systems at 1.5 °C and 2 °C, our results provide further evidence for high-impact climate change over the next three decades." @default.
• W4318577731 created "2023-01-31" @default.
• W4318577731 creator A5038101556 @default.
• W4318577731 creator A5073005936 @default.
• W4318577731 date "2023-01-30" @default.
• W4318577731 modified "2023-10-15" @default.
• W4318577731 title "Data-driven predictions of the time remaining until critical global warming thresholds are reached" @default.
• W4318577731 cites W1982846260 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W2041379399 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W2066122301 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W2127582060 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W2137567014 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W2173251738 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W2180539426 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W2193503481 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W2252419606 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W2259812487 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W2610782730 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W2733898201 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W2787981078 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W2789216553 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W2792025401 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W2794018984 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W2796293253 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W2802690323 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W2803804202 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W2808473211 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W2885562408 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W2974545260 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W2991419155 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W2994587497 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W3013886998 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W3025949386 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W3037496774 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W3082330840 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W3104675167 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W3118474455 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W3120196075 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W3138147141 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W3140418716 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W3183552297 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W4200356881 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W4206833963 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W4213041519 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W4220674190 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W4225393582 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W4254658691 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W4292133488 @default.
• W4318577731 cites W4318577731 @default.
• W4318577731 doi "https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2207183120" @default.
• W4318577731 hasPubMedId "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/36716375" @default.
• W4318577731 hasPublicationYear "2023" @default.
• W4318577731 type Work @default.
• W4318577731 citedByCount "12" @default.
• W4318577731 countsByYear W43185777312023 @default.
• W4318577731 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
• W4318577731 hasAuthorship W4318577731A5038101556 @default.
• W4318577731 hasAuthorship W4318577731A5073005936 @default.
• W4318577731 hasBestOaLocation W43185777311 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConcept C115343472 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConcept C127313418 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConcept C132651083 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConcept C153294291 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConcept C159985019 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConcept C168754636 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConcept C18903297 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConcept C192562407 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConcept C197115733 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConcept C199491958 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConcept C204323151 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConcept C205649164 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConcept C39432304 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConcept C49204034 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConcept C86803240 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConceptScore W4318577731C115343472 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConceptScore W4318577731C127313418 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConceptScore W4318577731C132651083 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConceptScore W4318577731C153294291 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConceptScore W4318577731C159985019 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConceptScore W4318577731C168754636 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConceptScore W4318577731C18903297 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConceptScore W4318577731C192562407 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConceptScore W4318577731C197115733 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConceptScore W4318577731C199491958 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConceptScore W4318577731C204323151 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConceptScore W4318577731C205649164 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConceptScore W4318577731C39432304 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConceptScore W4318577731C41008148 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConceptScore W4318577731C49204034 @default.
• W4318577731 hasConceptScore W4318577731C86803240 @default.
• W4318577731 hasIssue "6" @default.
• W4318577731 hasLocation W43185777311 @default.
• W4318577731 hasLocation W43185777312 @default.
• W4318577731 hasLocation W43185777313 @default.
• W4318577731 hasOpenAccess W4318577731 @default.
• W4318577731 hasPrimaryLocation W43185777311 @default.
• W4318577731 hasRelatedWork W168413351 @default.
• W4318577731 hasRelatedWork W1996264081 @default.
• W4318577731 hasRelatedWork W2437189682 @default.

• next